Govt figures. Estimation of Covid-19 in France, Monday, January 31, 2022

Covid-19 France. The number of new Govt cases registered in the balance sheet for Monday, January 31, 2022 is declining significantly compared to last Monday. According to the latest statistics, the 7-day average of new daily cases has dropped …

Corona damage has been reported 82,657 cases In 24 hours, according to this January 31, 2022 report. The number is as low as every Monday, especially when the number of cases dropped by 25,824 compared to last Monday. The 7-day average finally declined, with 334,260 cases reported daily, up from 337,949 yesterday and France currently has an incidence rate of 3,553.46 cases per 100,000 population (yesterday 3,641.03). On the other hand, the number of deaths recorded in the hospital within 24 hours is still high 348 people have died (Excluding Ehpad), i.e. 221 more than yesterday but 45 less than last Monday.

In hospitals, there are currently 32,374 patients have been admitted to the hospital With Covit-19, it is 838 more than yesterday. 3700 people Those in intensive care, i.e. 59 more, saw a significant drop last week. In the last 24 hours, 3,147 patients were admitted to the hospital, 2,057 more than the previous day and 206 less than last Monday. 334 intensive care combinations were recorded, which is 219 more than yesterday and 3 less than last Monday.

Public Health France, which updated its data on January 31, found that one-third of patients admitted to the hospital daily are currently admitted with covid disease for another reason (more than 7 days on average). Similarly, 16% of intensive care patients are admitted with a positive test for another reason.

Here is the latest official data Covid-19 in France According to daily reports Public Health France And Data.gouv, Based on SI-DEP tests, clinical data, and feedback from medical-community organizations, including nursing homes. Many explanations are needed to properly understand these figures. They are described below the table:

Accuracy – Since January 16, the official release of the confirmed (overall) confirmed number has been suspended since the onset of the epidemic.n due to an extension of the data integration period “, indicates Data.gouv.

Compared to the previous estimate (usually the previous day), the number of Govt-19 injuries, deaths, hospital admissions, resuscitations, and recovery was found to be higher or lower. According to the Daily Reports of Public Health France and Data.gouv, the latest data are available in France:

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Linternaute provides free access to data on the evolution of epidemics in your municipality … new Govt cases, test positive rates, share of tested population. See

From the daily data on the corona virus in France, we have developed several curves to monitor the evolution of the virus based on the number of confirmed cases, the number of hospital admissions and the number of patients in intensive care, the number of hospital deaths and the number of deaths. Total mortality and number of returnees, consolidated for treatment.

For each map, the curve represents the total (e.g. total cases, hospitalization events), while the bars correspond to daily changes (reserves added to the hospital each day, new deaths, etc.).

Details of the number of cases: Public Health France notes that the data “vary greatly depending on the screening activity (reducing activity on weekends, mechanically reducing the number of patients on Monday) and the timeframe for reporting results” (usually 24 hours to 48 hours). Several changes to the method of recording positive tests may have disrupted the calculation of cases:

• The government and Public Health France changed the method of collecting data on test results in mid-May 2020 SI-DEP Project. Figures recorded before and after May 13, 2020 are not fully comparable. Both the size and nature of the experiments carried out have greatly improved. From a few thousand trials at the beginning of the epidemic, France went to more than 1 million trials every week, and then to 2 million at the beginning of November 2020, inevitably affecting the statistics. In addition, at the height of the first wave, in March / April 2020, the trials were mainly focused on critically ill individuals, generally admitted to the hospital and excluded all patients with or without symptoms. The actual number of Covid-19 cases in France was significantly higher than the estimated number of confirmed cases during this period.
• From mid-November 2020, the number of positive tests, In addition to PCR tests, antigen test results.
• Copy edited May 20, 2021 by Public Health France. Although there have been more than 5.9 million cases in France since the outbreak, the number has dropped to about 5.57 million, or 348,846 fewer cases. The most visible correction in the curve above. Others “Incidents” about the flow of data have been reported several times by the Public Health France.

Hospital Admission Details: In other words it is necessary to differentiate between the total number of patients admitted to the hospital at one time and the new admissions (total) going to the hospital each day, in other words. In one case, it is a reserve, which takes into account admissions, but is discharged from the hospital (curing or death). On the other hand, we are only talking about new admissions to the hospital or intensive care for Govt disease in a day.

Public Health France also takes into account the number of patients admitted to the hospital with COVID-19, and not “for” COVID-19. So they can take into account patients admitted to the hospital for another reason. “Of all Govit-19 patients, the proportion of patients admitted to the hospital for reasons other than Govit-19 (but carriers of SARS-CoV-2) ranged from 21 to 26% in early January. According to Public Health France.

Accuracy of death toll: From May 2020, Public Health France will no longer update the balance sheet daily on the Ehpad. This report is updated weekly at the end of the summer and is then finalized at a rate of once or twice a week. Therefore, we first wanted to clear the daily death toll in nursing homes so as not to distort the maps. At the request of many readers, from November 13, 2020 onwards, we will again be showing updates on deaths in nursing homes (dark gray stripes), which cause artificial climax during updates. Data errors and corrections have been reported on several occasions by Public Health France since mid-March 2020, but were observed by the end of 2021, when over-estimation usually results in negative changes in mortality.

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The Ministry of Health compiles a series of statistics on the progress of Govt-19 in the country from source data. Four important indicators are given below: positive rate of RT-PCR tests, incidence rate, effective reproduction number, and aggression rate of intensive care beds. If the first and last are easily understood (the percentage of positive tests out of the total number of tests conducted and the percentage of intensive care beds occupied according to the initial capabilities of the country), the other two deserve a definition.

Event rate, Referred to by the second curve, which is considered to be the main indicator of the virulence of the virus. This is the number of new cases of corona virus detected by PCR testing in the last 7 days. This number is related to the number of inhabitants, i.e. a ratio of 100,000 per population.

Background Name (R) Corresponds to the average number of victims per patient. If this number is greater than 1, then on average one person with Covit-19 disease affects more than one person, which means that the disease is progressing.

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Accuracy of positive ratio and event rate: Public Health France changed its calculation method for its key indicators, the incidence rate and test positive rate on December 8, 2020. The inclusion of antigenic tests in the first indicator mechanically elevated the results of the calculation. The positive rate has dropped significantly. This method comes from the number of negative tests: if the same person performed multiple tests within 60 days, if they were negative, each of them is now counted. Previously, if a person came in as negative several times in a row within 60 days, only the first test would count. Only during a positive test did his condition change.

Public Health France explained In a press release This new calculation method has proven to be very accurate because it takes into account the “spread of the virus in the tested population”. “Today, as the epidemic continues, it is common for the same person to undergo multiple tests, especially when previous tests have been negative. In addition, knowledge has evolved and the risk of relapse is considered very low today, but is possible later. 60 days, can be identified,” he said. The company wrote.